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Time to regulate commodity “speculato rs”?
Gasoline prices follow consistent seasonal patterns. Every spring they go up, every summer they reach a peak, and just about every autumn they come back down…
What sometimes pushes the extremes of this price cycle are things you might expect, like supply & demand. But, another factor you may not expect is even greater than basic supply & demand principles… it’s speculative investment by people who have no intention of ever taking receipt of a single barrel of crude oil. “Speculators do not produce or use the commodity, but they risk their own capital trading futures in that commodity in hopes of making a profit on price changes.” That’s how the Commodity Futures Trading Commission defines it.
In a June 2006 staff report by the U.S. Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs (The Role of Market Speculation in Rising Oil and Gas Prices: A Need to Put the Cop Back on the Beat) such oil speculation can add $20 to $25 per barrel to the price of oil. At the pump that’s estimated to represent an additional 50 to 60 cents per gallon.
Here’s a link to the complete report.
In July 2008, speculation pushed crude oil prices to a record price of $147 per barrel, and gasoline to its highest national average of $4.11 per gallon.
Where do we go from here? Please share your thoughts.
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